The winter capacity squeeze is real—I've been there with my off-grid cabin setup. Lead-acid just doesn't perform when ambient temps drop, and you're effectively losing 20-30% usable capacity without even touching DoD concerns.
For 200Ah LiFePO4 on a budget, look at Fogstar or Renogy units rather than the premium brands. You'll save £1-2k and get solid BMS protection. The key advantage over your current setup isn't just the rated capacity—it's that you can genuinely use 80-90% of it without degradation, whereas your lead-acid probably only gave you 50% usable after accounting for DoD limits.
Winter performance difference is stark. My 200Ah Fogstar handles December-January far better than my old 300Ah lead-acid ever did. The cells don't suffer in cold like lead-acid does, and the BMS heater function (if you go that route) is worth the cost.
Only real caveat: make sure your charger can handle LiFePO4 termination curves properly. A basic MPPT might need a