Seen this come up a few times lately and it's genuinely maddening. My import units have dropped by about 70% since I expanded the array and added a second Fogstar Drift 100Ah to the bank, yet my quarterly bill barely shifted.
The culprit in my case was the standing charge. Octopus have mine sitting at around 61p/day now, which adds up to roughly £55 per quarter before I've drawn a single watt from the grid. Combine that with the supplier's various "network cost" line items and you can practically halve your consumption and still see a bill that looks depressingly familiar.
The other thing worth checking is whether your export tariff is actually offsetting correctly if you're on something like SEG. Mine wasn't being applied properly for two billing cycles — took three calls to sort out.
A few things worth auditing:
- Standing charge increases — these have crept up significantly since 2022
- Meter reading accuracy — smart meters can behave oddly alongside off-grid hybrid setups (Victron MultiPlus users especially, worth double-checking)
- VAT and levy adjustments — some of these have quietly changed
The uncomfortable truth is that the grid operators are essentially pricing in the fixed infrastructure cost regardless of usage. The less you use, the higher your effective p/kWh rate becomes on whatever you do import.
Anyone found a supplier that's actually better suited to very-low-import customers? I've been wondering whether a pay-as-you-go arrangement might make more sense at this point rather than a direct debit that feels disconnected from actual usage.