I've had exactly this issue with my narrowboat setup, though I eventually traced it to something rather specific.
My Victron MPPT was throttling back reliably at 2pm every summer, which seemed intentional at first. Turned out it was temperature-related—the controller hits a thermal limit around 60°C and starts derating. On my boat, the afternoon sun was beating directly onto the battery cabinet where I'd mounted it. Once I added a small ventilated shield and repositioned the unit away from radiant heat, the voltage held steady through to sunset.
Worth checking a few things:
- Ambient temperature of the controller itself, not just air temperature. Use an infrared thermometer if you have one.
- Panel voltage at that time—if it's dropping, you might have a shading issue creeping in that you've not noticed. I initially dismissed a neighbouring tree until I realised it cast shadow exactly when I was struggling.
- Battery state of charge. If your batteries are hitting their charge limit by 2pm, the MPPT will naturally throttle to prevent overcharging. This is correct behaviour, mind you, just not always obvious.
- Firmware version—some older Victron units had quirks with temperature compensation.
What controller are you running? And is the voltage drop happening at the array side or the battery side? That distinction matters quite a bit for diagnosis.
Curious whether others have found it's purely thermal or something else entirely. The timing is too consistent for coincidence.