This is almost certainly low-temperature protection kicking in. Lithium cells — whether LFP or otherwise — really don't like being discharged in sub-zero conditions, and most decent BMS units will cut out well before the cells are genuinely depleted to protect against permanent damage.
A few things worth checking:
- What temperature was the battery actually at? Not ambient, but the cells themselves. They lag behind ambient considerably, especially in an insulated box.
- Is this a self-heating battery or a standard one? Fogstar Drift and certain Victron Smart Lithium units have low-temp cutoff around 5°C for discharge. Some cheaper units are even more conservative.
- Are you seeing a BMS alarm in VictronConnect, or is the MPPT/inverter just dropping out?
On my narrowboat last February we had three consecutive nights below -4°C and the Victron Smart Lithium 200Ah cut discharge at around 35–38% SOC because the cell temperature had dropped to roughly 4°C. Looked dramatic on the app but was entirely correct behaviour. Once the battery warmed up — partly from the engine alternator, partly just ambient rising — everything resumed normally with no capacity loss.
Worth noting: if you're seeing this repeatedly without cold temperatures, then I'd start worrying about a degraded cell or a BMS fault rather than normal protection logic.
What's your actual setup — is this on a boat, a van, static install? And which specific Victron battery is it? The 25.6V Smart Lithium has slightly different parameters to the older non-smart versions.
Others on here will likely have seen similar — would be useful to know if it's a pattern across multiple users this winter.